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Society · Guess the stat

How well do you know surveys and polls?

Guess the real numbers behind how polling actually works, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

Guess the statOne tap · see how everyone guessed

The famous 1936 Literary Digest poll surveyed over 2 million people but got the presidential result wrong. Who did it wrongly predict would win?

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Close-up of a hand holding a ballot paper indoors, symbolizing democracy and civil rights.
Photo: Edmond Dantès / Pexels
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Today's round

  • 4 stats to guess
  • 1 opinion poll
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Guess, see the crowd, get the real number. One ranked attempt per day.

Hello by the numbers

Real figures with their sources. All Hello facts →

about 50,000

George Gallup correctly called that same 1936 election using how many respondents?

A much smaller but carefully sampled group beat a poll 40 times its size, proving sampling method matters more than raw numbers.

Source: Wikipedia, George Gallup (2024) en.wikipedia.org

about 6%

Pew Research's telephone survey response rate fell from 37% in 1996 to about what by 2018?

Fewer and fewer people pick up unknown calls, making it much harder and more expensive to reach a representative sample by phone.

Source: Pew Research Center (2018) pewresearch.org

nearly 750 million votes

By its tenth season in 2011, how many total votes had viewers cast live on American Idol that season?

Live TV voting is really just a giant informal opinion poll, and Idol's totals show how massive public 'voting' can get.

Source: Wikipedia, American Idol (2011) en.wikipedia.org

What people think about surveys, polling and public-opinion research itself

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Do you usually respond to surveys when asked?

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What would make you more likely to answer a survey?

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Which type of survey do you trust most?

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Questions

How does HelloSurvey.com work?

Each question asks you to guess a real number about surveys, polling and public-opinion research itself. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

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